Microsoft MSFT

StockMicrosoft · MSFT perp · MEXC

$517.15-2.27% 1D

Hurst edition (preview): coloured lines are FLDs (solid) and VTLs (dashed) of each cycle wave, markers under the candles are the phased cycle troughs, the grey dotted band is the envelope, the shaded dashed box is the next cycle-low window, green/red dashed lines are the FLD target and stop. Not investment advice. Candles: MEXC perpetual contract.

Prices are MEXC MSFT perpetual-contract prices that track Microsoft; they are not official exchange quotes and can differ from them, especially outside US market hours. Weekend and US-holiday candles are left out. Not investment advice.

Hurst cycles

Current Hurst signals

How to read the 1D chart

20W 20-week · 81.3 candles · 102% through · bottoming · trend up
80D 80-day · 40.7 candles · 111% through · bottoming · trend up
40D 40-day · 22 candles · 136% through · bottoming · trend up
20D 20-day · 10.6 candles · 179% through · overdue · trend up
10D 10-day · 5.9 candles · 236% through · overdue · trend flat

Cycles in calendar time (L3 p197): 20-week ≈ 81 candles, 80-day ≈ 41 candles, 40-day ≈ 22 candles, 20-day ≈ 11 candles, 10-day ≈ 6 candles. Periods are measured from the phased troughs (L3 p251).

Phasing, longest wave first (L3 p204-237): markers under the candles show each trough, labelled with the longest wave it belongs to; "?" = a possible trough placed by the nominal model, not yet confirmed by an FLD break.

Status (L3 p174): 20W bottoming · 80D bottoming · 40D bottoming · 20D overdue (more than 1.5 periods since its last trough, L5 p482) · 10D overdue (more than 1.5 periods since its last trough, L5 p482).

FLD lines (L2 p104-125): the mean price shifted forward half a period (80D, 40D). The part beyond the last candle is already known. Signals use the price-high/low FLD one candle further (P/2+1, L9 p934).

Buy: price crossed the 20-week FLD at $457.87. Objective $599.61 (31.0%), the move before the cross repeated past it (L3 p200-203). Stop $349.28, one tick past the latest low/high (L2 p126). The longer waves give a trend call of "up", so the objective should be overshot (L6 p628). Guide (L7 p681-693): worse.

Up-VTL of the 20-week wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.

Down-VTL of the 40-day wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.

Next 20-week low (L3 p254): due between 2026-10-22 and 2026-11-12 UTC; price nest from the down-objectives of this wave and the shorter ones (L6 p628): about $528.56.

Cascade (L2 p123): FLDs of two successive waves broke down together, a stronger move.

Pause zone (L10 p1086-1089): the known parts of the 20D and 10D FLDs lie flat near $531.39; expect a pause there.

Envelope (L3 p197): grey band around the centred 80-day average. Price now $522.28.

1W: not enough history yet to scan (104 weekly candles needed for a warmed-up trend filter). The chart is shown, but no patterns are looked for.