How to read the 4H chart
- 20D 20-day · 75 candles · 48% through · topping · trend flat
- 10D 10-day · 37.5 candles · 96% through · bottoming · trend flat
- 5D 5-day · 20.9 candles · 91% through · bottoming · trend flat
- 2.5D 2.5-day · 9.6 candles · 94% through · overdue · trend down
- 1.25D 1.25-day · 4.9 candles · 284% through · overdue · trend down
Cycles in calendar time (L3 p197): 20-day ≈ 75 candles, 10-day ≈ 38 candles, 5-day ≈ 21 candles, 2.5-day ≈ 10 candles, 1.25-day ≈ 5 candles. Periods are measured from the phased troughs (L3 p251).
Phasing, longest wave first (L3 p204-237): markers under the candles show each trough, labelled with the longest wave it belongs to; "?" = a possible trough placed by the nominal model, not yet confirmed by an FLD break.
Status (L3 p174): 20D topping · 10D bottoming · 5D bottoming · 2.5D overdue (more than 1.5 periods since its last trough, L5 p482) · 1.25D overdue (more than 1.5 periods since its last trough, L5 p482).
FLD lines (L2 p104-125): the mean price shifted forward half a period (10D, 5D). The part beyond the last candle is already known. Signals use the price-high/low FLD one candle further (P/2+1, L9 p934).
Buy: price crossed the 20-day FLD at $900.87. Objective $941.94 (4.6%), the move before the cross repeated past it (L3 p200-203). Stop $860.74, one tick past the latest low/high (L2 p126). The longer waves give a trend call of "flat", so the objective should be roughly met (L6 p628). Guide (L7 p681-693): worse.
Up-VTL of the 20-day wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.
Down-VTL of the 20-day wave (L2 p83-103): broken, so the 40-day wave has troughed (L10 p1072).
Next 10-day low (L3 p254): due between 2026-10-23 12:00 and 2026-10-28 22:44 UTC; price nest from the down-objectives of this wave and the shorter ones (L6 p628): about $881.23.
Pause zone (L10 p1086-1089): the known parts of the 2.5D and 1.25D FLDs lie flat near $889.51; expect a pause there.
Envelope (L3 p197): grey band around the centred 10-day average. Price now $886.41.
How to read the 1D chart
- 80D 80-day · 43 candles · 140% through · bottoming · trend down
- 40D 40-day · 21.5 candles · 23% through · up · trend flat
- 20D 20-day · 10.7 candles · 47% through · topping · trend up
- 10D 10-day · 6 candles · 83% through · down · trend up
Cycles in calendar time (L3 p197): 80-day ≈ 43 candles, 40-day ≈ 22 candles, 20-day ≈ 11 candles, 10-day ≈ 6 candles. Periods are measured from the phased troughs (L3 p251).
Phasing, longest wave first (L3 p204-237): markers under the candles show each trough, labelled with the longest wave it belongs to; "?" = a possible trough placed by the nominal model, not yet confirmed by an FLD break.
Status (L3 p174): 80D bottoming · 40D up · 20D topping · 10D down.
FLD lines (L2 p104-125): the mean price shifted forward half a period (40D, 20D). The part beyond the last candle is already known. Signals use the price-high/low FLD one candle further (P/2+1, L9 p934).
Up-VTL of the 80-day wave (L2 p83-103): broken, so the 20-week wave has crested (L10 p1072).
Down-VTL of the 40-day wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.
Next 80-day low (L3 p254): due between 2026-10-22 and 2026-10-28 UTC.
Cascade (L2 p123): FLDs of two successive waves broke up together, a stronger move.
Pause zone (L10 p1086-1089): the known parts of the 20D and 10D FLDs lie flat near $890.88; expect a pause there.
Envelope (L3 p197): grey band around the centred 40-day average. Price now $892.90.
1D and 1W: not enough history yet to scan (200 1D candles, 104 weekly candles needed for a warmed-up trend filter). The chart is shown, but no patterns are looked for.