How to read the 4H chart
- 20D 20-day · 90 candles · 17% through · up · trend down
- 10D 10-day · 45 candles · 33% through · up · trend flat
- 5D 5-day · 22 candles · 68% through · down · trend up
- 2.5D 2.5-day · 13.4 candles · 60% through · topping · trend flat
- 1.25D 1.25-day · 6.5 candles · 123% through · bottoming · trend down
Cycles in calendar time (L3 p197): 20-day ≈ 90 candles, 10-day ≈ 45 candles, 5-day ≈ 22 candles, 2.5-day ≈ 13 candles, 1.25-day ≈ 7 candles. Periods are measured from the phased troughs (L3 p251).
Phasing, longest wave first (L3 p204-237): markers under the candles show each trough, labelled with the longest wave it belongs to; "?" = a possible trough placed by the nominal model, not yet confirmed by an FLD break.
Status (L3 p174): 20D up · 10D up · 5D down · 2.5D topping · 1.25D bottoming.
FLD lines (L2 p104-125): the mean price shifted forward half a period (10D, 5D). The part beyond the last candle is already known. Signals use the price-high/low FLD one candle further (P/2+1, L9 p934).
Sell: price crossed the 5-day FLD at $0.0001770. Objective $0.0001535 (-13.3%), the move before the cross repeated past it (L3 p200-203). Stop $0.0002043, one tick past the latest low/high (L2 p126). The longer waves give a trend call of "up", so the objective should be undershot (L6 p628). Guide (L7 p681-693): on track.
Up-VTL of the 20-day wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.
Down-VTL of the 10-day wave (L2 p83-103): broken, so the 20-day wave has troughed (L10 p1072).
Next 5-day low (L3 p254): due between 2026-10-22 20:00 and 2026-10-26 08:00 UTC; price nest from the down-objectives of this wave and the shorter ones (L6 p628): $0.0001771 to $0.0001831.
Pause zone (L10 p1086-1089): the known parts of the 2.5D and 1.25D FLDs lie flat near $0.0001783; expect a pause there.
Envelope (L3 p197): grey band around the centred 10-day average. Price now $0.0001740.
4H and 1D and 1W: not enough history yet to scan (200 4H candles, 200 1D candles, 104 weekly candles needed for a warmed-up trend filter). The chart is shown, but no patterns are looked for.