How to read the 4H chart
- 20D 20-day · 98 candles · 92% through · bottoming · trend flat
- 10D 10-day · 49 candles · 102% through · bottoming · trend flat
- 5D 5-day · 24 candles · 108% through · overdue · trend flat
- 2.5D 2.5-day · 14.2 candles · 176% through · overdue · trend up
- 1.25D 1.25-day · 7.1 candles · 239% through · overdue · trend flat
Cycles in calendar time (L3 p197): 20-day ≈ 98 candles, 10-day ≈ 49 candles, 5-day ≈ 24 candles, 2.5-day ≈ 14 candles, 1.25-day ≈ 7 candles. Periods are measured from the phased troughs (L3 p251).
Phasing, longest wave first (L3 p204-237): markers under the candles show each trough, labelled with the longest wave it belongs to; "?" = a possible trough placed by the nominal model, not yet confirmed by an FLD break.
Status (L3 p174): 20D bottoming · 10D bottoming · 5D overdue (more than 1.5 periods since its last trough, L5 p482) · 2.5D overdue (more than 1.5 periods since its last trough, L5 p482) · 1.25D overdue (more than 1.5 periods since its last trough, L5 p482).
FLD lines (L2 p104-125): the mean price shifted forward half a period (10D, 5D). The part beyond the last candle is already known. Signals use the price-high/low FLD one candle further (P/2+1, L9 p934).
Sell: price crossed the 10-day FLD at $0.6935. Objective $0.5699 (-17.8%), the move before the cross repeated past it (L3 p200-203). Stop $0.8447, one tick past the latest low/high (L2 p126). The longer waves give a trend call of "flat", so the objective should be roughly met (L6 p628). Guide (L7 p681-693): worse.
Up-VTL of the 20-day wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.
Down-VTL of the 10-day wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.
Next 20-day low (L3 p254): due between 2026-10-23 08:00 and 2026-10-27 22:24 UTC; price nest from the down-objectives of this wave and the shorter ones (L6 p628): $0.6345 to $0.7603.
Pause zone (L10 p1086-1089): the known parts of the 2.5D and 1.25D FLDs lie flat near $0.6725; expect a pause there.
Envelope (L3 p197): grey band around the centred 10-day average. Price now $0.6748.
1D and 1W: not enough history yet to scan (200 1D candles, 104 weekly candles needed for a warmed-up trend filter). The chart is shown, but no patterns are looked for.