Filecoin FIL

$0.9945-2.29% 24h

Hurst edition (preview): coloured lines are FLDs (solid) and VTLs (dashed) of each cycle wave, markers under the candles are the phased cycle troughs, the grey dotted band is the envelope, the shaded dashed box is the next cycle-low window, green/red dashed lines are the FLD target and stop. Not investment advice. Candles: OKX, Gate.

Hurst cycles

Current Hurst signals

FLD signal1.25-day FLD buy · target $1.0195 (+3.7%), stop $0.9465 · trend up, expect overshoot · on track1H
Cycle low dueNext 80-day low due 22 Oct – 10 Nov UTC · $0.8440–$0.94711D

How to read the 1H chart

5D 5-day · 112 candles · 14% through · up · trend down
2.5D 2.5-day · 56 candles · 29% through · up · trend flat
1.25D 1.25-day · 24 candles · 67% through · down · trend up
15H 15-hour · 11.9 candles · 134% through · bottoming · trend flat

Cycles in calendar time (L3 p197): 5-day ≈ 112 candles, 2.5-day ≈ 56 candles, 1.25-day ≈ 24 candles, 15-hour ≈ 12 candles. Periods are measured from the phased troughs (L3 p251).

Phasing, longest wave first (L3 p204-237): markers under the candles show each trough, labelled with the longest wave it belongs to; "?" = a possible trough placed by the nominal model, not yet confirmed by an FLD break.

Status (L3 p174): 5D up · 2.5D up · 1.25D down · 15H bottoming.

FLD lines (L2 p104-125): the mean price shifted forward half a period (2.5D, 1.25D). The part beyond the last candle is already known. Signals use the price-high/low FLD one candle further (P/2+1, L9 p934).

Sell: price crossed the 5-day FLD at $1.00. Objective $0.9224 (-8.1%), the move before the cross repeated past it (L3 p200-203). Stop $1.09, one tick past the latest low/high (L2 p126). The longer waves give a trend call of "down", so the objective should be overshot (L6 p628). Guide (L7 p681-693): on track.

Up-VTL of the 5-day wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.

Down-VTL of the 5-day wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.

Next 1.25-day low (L3 p254): due between 2026-10-23 07:00 and 2026-10-23 19:00 UTC.

Cascade (L2 p123): FLDs of two successive waves broke down together, a stronger move.

Envelope (L3 p197): grey band around the centred 2.5-day average. Price now $0.9937.

How to read the 1D chart

80D 80-day · 70 candles · 93% through · bottoming · trend up
40D 40-day · 35 candles · 103% through · bottoming · trend flat
20D 20-day · 17.3 candles · 115% through · bottoming · trend flat
10D 10-day · 9 candles · 44% through · topping · trend up
5D 5-day · 4.2 candles · 95% through · bottoming · trend up

Cycles in calendar time (L3 p197): 80-day ≈ 70 candles, 40-day ≈ 35 candles, 20-day ≈ 17 candles, 10-day ≈ 9 candles, 5-day ≈ 4 candles. Periods are measured from the phased troughs (L3 p251).

Status (L3 p174): 80D bottoming · 40D bottoming · 20D bottoming · 10D topping · 5D bottoming.

FLD lines (L2 p104-125): the mean price shifted forward half a period (40D, 20D). The part beyond the last candle is already known. Signals use the price-high/low FLD one candle further (P/2+1, L9 p934).

Sell: price crossed the 10-day FLD at $1.07. Objective $0.8950 (-16.3%), the move before the cross repeated past it (L3 p200-203). Stop $1.28, one tick past the latest low/high (L2 p126). The longer waves give a trend call of "up", so the objective should be undershot (L6 p628). Guide (L7 p681-693): worse.

Up-VTL of the 40-day wave (L2 p83-103): broken, so the 80-day wave has crested (L10 p1072).

Down-VTL of the 40-day wave (L2 p83-103): broken, so the 80-day wave has troughed (L10 p1072).

Next 80-day low (L3 p254): due between 2026-10-22 and 2026-11-10 UTC; price nest from the down-objectives of this wave and the shorter ones (L6 p628): $0.8440 to $0.9471.

Cascade (L2 p123): FLDs of two successive waves broke down together, a stronger move.

Pause zone (L10 p1086-1089): the known parts of the 10D and 5D FLDs lie flat near $1.03; expect a pause there.

Envelope (L3 p197): grey band around the centred 40-day average. Price now $0.9800.