How to read the 4H chart
- 20D 20-day · 67 candles · 49% through · topping · trend down
- 10D 10-day · 33.5 candles · 45% through · topping · trend flat
- 5D 5-day · 16.5 candles · 91% through · bottoming · trend flat
- 2.5D 2.5-day · 8.9 candles · 34% through · up · trend flat
- 1.25D 1.25-day · 5.2 candles · 58% through · topping · trend flat
Cycles in calendar time (L3 p197): 20-day ≈ 67 candles, 10-day ≈ 34 candles, 5-day ≈ 17 candles, 2.5-day ≈ 9 candles, 1.25-day ≈ 5 candles. Periods are measured from the phased troughs (L3 p251).
Phasing, longest wave first (L3 p204-237): markers under the candles show each trough, labelled with the longest wave it belongs to; "?" = a possible trough placed by the nominal model, not yet confirmed by an FLD break.
Status (L3 p174): 20D topping · 10D topping · 5D bottoming · 2.5D up · 1.25D topping.
FLD lines (L2 p104-125): the mean price shifted forward half a period (10D, 5D). The part beyond the last candle is already known. Signals use the price-high/low FLD one candle further (P/2+1, L9 p934).
Buy: price crossed the 20-day FLD at $152.54. Objective $166.82 (9.4%), the move before the cross repeated past it (L3 p200-203). Stop $139.34, one tick past the latest low/high (L2 p126). The longer waves give a trend call of "down", so the objective should be undershot (L6 p628). Guide (L7 p681-693): worse.
Up-VTL of the 10-day wave (L2 p83-103): broken, so the 20-day wave has crested (L10 p1072).
Down-VTL of the 10-day wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.
Next 5-day low (L3 p254): due between 2026-10-23 00:00 and 2026-10-24 22:28 UTC; price nest from the down-objectives of this wave and the shorter ones (L6 p628): about $146.58.
Cascade (L2 p123): FLDs of two successive waves broke down together, a stronger move.
Envelope (L3 p197): grey band around the centred 10-day average. Price now $141.51.
1D and 1W: not enough history yet to scan (200 1D candles, 104 weekly candles needed for a warmed-up trend filter). The chart is shown, but no patterns are looked for.