How to read the 4H chart
- 20D 20-day · 68 candles · 122% through · bottoming · trend up
- 10D 10-day · 34 candles · 38% through · up · trend up
- 5D 5-day · 18.1 candles · 72% through · down · trend up
- 2.5D 2.5-day · 9.5 candles · 42% through · topping · trend flat
- 1.25D 1.25-day · 4.9 candles · 82% through · down · trend flat
Cycles in calendar time (L3 p197): 20-day ≈ 68 candles, 10-day ≈ 34 candles, 5-day ≈ 18 candles, 2.5-day ≈ 10 candles, 1.25-day ≈ 5 candles. Periods are measured from the phased troughs (L3 p251).
Phasing, longest wave first (L3 p204-237): markers under the candles show each trough, labelled with the longest wave it belongs to; "?" = a possible trough placed by the nominal model, not yet confirmed by an FLD break.
Status (L3 p174): 20D bottoming · 10D up · 5D down · 2.5D topping · 1.25D down.
FLD lines (L2 p104-125): the mean price shifted forward half a period (10D, 5D). The part beyond the last candle is already known. Signals use the price-high/low FLD one candle further (P/2+1, L9 p934).
Buy: price crossed the 10-day FLD at $431.48. Objective $492.87 (14.2%), the move before the cross repeated past it (L3 p200-203). Stop $377.36, one tick past the latest low/high (L2 p126). The longer waves give a trend call of "up", so the objective should be overshot (L6 p628). Guide (L7 p681-693): on track.
Up-VTL of the 20-day wave (L2 p83-103): broken, so the 40-day wave has crested (L10 p1072).
Down-VTL of the 10-day wave (L2 p83-103): broken, so the 20-day wave has troughed (L10 p1072).
Next 20-day low (L3 p254): due between 2026-10-23 00:00 and 2026-10-24 15:30 UTC.
Cascade (L2 p123): FLDs of two successive waves broke up together, a stronger move.
Envelope (L3 p197): grey band around the centred 10-day average. Price now $447.15.
1D and 1W: not enough history yet to scan (200 1D candles, 104 weekly candles needed for a warmed-up trend filter). The chart is shown, but no patterns are looked for.