RE RE

$0.3734-4.76% 24h

Hurst edition (preview): coloured lines are FLDs (solid) and VTLs (dashed) of each cycle wave, markers under the candles are the phased cycle troughs, the grey dotted band is the envelope, the shaded dashed box is the next cycle-low window, green/red dashed lines are the FLD target and stop. Not investment advice. Candles: OKX.

Hurst cycles

Current Hurst signals

FLD signal5-day FLD sell · target $0.3598 (-5.1%), stop $0.3995 · trend up, expect undershoot · on track4H

How to read the 4H chart

20D 20-day · 99.3 candles · 24% through · up · trend down
10D 10-day · 49.7 candles · 48% through · topping · trend flat
5D 5-day · 28.3 candles · 85% through · down · trend up
2.5D 2.5-day · 12.1 candles · 99% through · overdue · trend down
1.25D 1.25-day · 6.5 candles · 201% through · overdue · trend down

Cycles in calendar time (L3 p197): 20-day ≈ 99 candles, 10-day ≈ 50 candles, 5-day ≈ 28 candles, 2.5-day ≈ 12 candles, 1.25-day ≈ 6 candles. Periods are measured from the phased troughs (L3 p251).

Phasing, longest wave first (L3 p204-237): markers under the candles show each trough, labelled with the longest wave it belongs to; "?" = a possible trough placed by the nominal model, not yet confirmed by an FLD break.

Status (L3 p174): 20D up · 10D topping · 5D down · 2.5D overdue (more than 1.5 periods since its last trough, L5 p482) · 1.25D overdue (more than 1.5 periods since its last trough, L5 p482).

FLD lines (L2 p104-125): the mean price shifted forward half a period (10D, 5D). The part beyond the last candle is already known. Signals use the price-high/low FLD one candle further (P/2+1, L9 p934).

Sell: price crossed the 20-day FLD at $0.4606. Objective $0.3862 (-16.2%), the move before the cross repeated past it (L3 p200-203). Stop $0.5499, one tick past the latest low/high (L2 p126). The longer waves give a trend call of "down", so the objective should be overshot (L6 p628). Guide (L7 p681-693): on track, the objective has been reached.

Up-VTL of the 20-day wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.

Down-VTL of the 5-day wave (L2 p83-103): broken, so the 10-day wave has troughed (L10 p1072).

Next 5-day low (L3 p254): due between 2026-10-22 04:00 and 2026-10-24 20:00 UTC; price nest from the down-objectives of this wave and the shorter ones (L6 p628): $0.3605 to $0.3782.

Cascade (L2 p123): FLDs of two successive waves broke down together, a stronger move.

Envelope (L3 p197): grey band around the centred 10-day average. Price now $0.3734.

1D and 1W: not enough history yet to scan (200 1D candles, 104 weekly candles needed for a warmed-up trend filter). The chart is shown, but no patterns are looked for.