Avalanche AVAX

$9.262-1.13% 24h

Hurst edition (preview): coloured lines are FLDs (solid) and VTLs (dashed) of each cycle wave, markers under the candles are the phased cycle troughs, the grey dotted band is the envelope, the shaded dashed box is the next cycle-low window, green/red dashed lines are the FLD target and stop. Not investment advice. Candles: OKX.

Hurst cycles

Current Hurst signals

FLD signal1.25-day FLD buy · target $9.5113 (+2.5%), stop $9.044 · trend up, expect overshoot · on track1H
Cycle low dueNext 80-day low due 22 Oct – 6 Nov UTC · $9.2708–$10.1661D

How to read the 1H chart

5D 5-day · 91 candles · 14% through · up · trend down
2.5D 2.5-day · 45.5 candles · 29% through · up · trend flat
1.25D 1.25-day · 30.3 candles · 43% through · topping · trend up
15H 15-hour · 11.4 candles · 114% through · bottoming · trend up

Cycles in calendar time (L3 p197): 5-day ≈ 91 candles, 2.5-day ≈ 46 candles, 1.25-day ≈ 30 candles, 15-hour ≈ 11 candles. Periods are measured from the phased troughs (L3 p251).

Phasing, longest wave first (L3 p204-237): markers under the candles show each trough, labelled with the longest wave it belongs to; "?" = a possible trough placed by the nominal model, not yet confirmed by an FLD break.

Status (L3 p174): 5D up · 2.5D up · 1.25D topping · 15H bottoming.

FLD lines (L2 p104-125): the mean price shifted forward half a period (2.5D, 1.25D). The part beyond the last candle is already known. Signals use the price-high/low FLD one candle further (P/2+1, L9 p934).

Sell: price crossed the 5-day FLD at $9.56. Objective $9.09 (-4.9%), the move before the cross repeated past it (L3 p200-203). Stop $10.06, one tick past the latest low/high (L2 p126). The longer waves give a trend call of "down", so the objective should be overshot (L6 p628). Guide (L7 p681-693): better, the objective has been reached.

Up-VTL of the 5-day wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.

Down-VTL of the 5-day wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.

Next 15-hour low (L3 p254): due between 2026-10-23 05:00 and 2026-10-23 09:00 UTC.

Cascade (L2 p123): FLDs of two successive waves broke up together, a stronger move.

Envelope (L3 p197): grey band around the centred 2.5-day average. Price now $9.31.

How to read the 1W chart

18M 18-month · 94.7 candles · 18% through · up · trend down
40W 40-week · 47.3 candles · 36% through · up · trend flat
20W 20-week · 17.6 candles · 97% through · bottoming · trend up
80D 80-day · 9.3 candles · 118% through · bottoming · trend flat
40D 40-day · 5.1 candles · 118% through · overdue · trend up

Cycles in calendar time (L3 p197): 18-month ≈ 95 candles, 40-week ≈ 47 candles, 20-week ≈ 18 candles, 80-day ≈ 9 candles, 40-day ≈ 5 candles. Periods are measured from the phased troughs (L3 p251).

Status (L3 p174): 18M up · 40W up · 20W bottoming · 80D bottoming · 40D overdue (more than 1.5 periods since its last trough, L5 p482).

FLD lines (L2 p104-125): the mean price shifted forward half a period (40W, 20W). The part beyond the last candle is already known. Signals use the price-high/low FLD one candle further (P/2+1, L9 p934).

Buy: price crossed the 40-week FLD at $9.69. Objective $16.52 (70.5%), the move before the cross repeated past it (L3 p200-203). Stop $5.68, one tick past the latest low/high (L2 p126). The longer waves give a trend call of "flat", so the objective should be roughly met (L6 p628). Guide (L7 p681-693): on track.

Up-VTL of the 20-week wave (L2 p83-103): broken, so the 40-week wave has crested (L10 p1072).

Down-VTL of the 40-week wave (L2 p83-103): not broken yet.

Next 20-week low (L3 p254): due between 2026-10-12 and 2026-10-28 UTC; price nest from the down-objectives of this wave and the shorter ones (L6 p628): above $9.96.

Cascade (L2 p123): FLDs of two successive waves broke up together, a stronger move.

Pause zone (L10 p1086-1089): the known parts of the 80D and 40D FLDs lie flat near $10.56; expect a pause there.

Envelope (L3 p197): grey band around the centred 40-week average. Price now $9.78.